For the Record: I don't support either Clinton or Obama!
The rules of the Democratic Party are that if a candidate goes to the Convention with less than 2024 delegates they are not entitled to the nomination. The Super Delegates have no standard to adhere to when voting for a candidate other than their own judgment. The news organizations are completely wrong to suggest the Super Delegates are bound by the popular vote or a small lead of pledged delegates. Clinton and Obama knew these rules at the start of the Democratic Primaries. To change any of these rules now to favor one campaign over the other will end in a Democratic defeat in November.
Obama has demonstrated his inability to win big states with primaries as most of his delegates were won in caucuses. The loss in Ohio is truly significant and Texas verified this trend. Obama should have trounced Clinton in Ohio as conditions were definitely in his favor at this late stage of the primaries. Obama out spent Clinton, was holding rallies in stadiums, won 11 straight primaries, and had the news cycle. A loss in Pennsylvania will put to rest any claim Obama has on the nomination as the Democrats can hardly win a General Election loosing more than one of the major industrial states. It's not easy to see the truth.
Clinton has a problem being not as inspiring or likable but she does appeal to the working class. There is also the Bush Clinton Bush Clinton problem. Her husband also seems to be a liability. She will unite Conservatives and precipitate a larger Republican turnout. The vote in 2002 to give Bush the authority to use military force plays heavily against her in certain parts of the Democratic Party but she is the blue collar candidate. A loss in Pennsylvania will play heavily against her claim on the nomination.
There are a lot of `fantasy' matchups against McCain but I can't understand why people put any kind of credibility in these useless exercises in futility. The primaries have proven beyond the shadow of a doubt the danger of putting any value on polls.
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